Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.335877 0.362050 0.390090 0.422499 0.459100 0.499358 0.547269
2025-02-02 0.295378 0.335809 0.382819 0.442301 0.516717 0.608391 0.732597
2025-02-09 0.260064 0.307094 0.365149 0.443895 0.550979 0.696556 0.919405
2025-02-16 0.230607 0.279784 0.343187 0.433830 0.565496 0.759846 1.091816
2025-02-23 0.211718 0.262773 0.331083 0.433361 0.591142 0.843154 1.324800
2025-03-02 0.194593 0.245767 0.316235 0.425700 0.603145 0.906459 1.549124
2025-03-09 0.180193 0.230847 0.302278 0.416738 0.610423 0.962348 1.785331
2025-03-16 0.168412 0.218434 0.290453 0.409084 0.617837 1.019636 2.056740
2025-03-23 0.162503 0.213832 0.289563 0.418514 0.656634 1.150058 2.608527
2025-03-30 0.153842 0.204442 0.280368 0.412693 0.665662 1.219542 3.044894
2025-04-06 0.143350 0.191602 0.264726 0.393943 0.646196 1.217708 3.240162
2025-04-13 0.134035 0.180010 0.250263 0.375855 0.625430 1.207829 3.405214
2025-04-20 0.129927 0.176424 0.248841 0.381860 0.657612 1.349402 4.437405
2025-04-27 0.128346 0.176729 0.253948 0.400899 0.723347 1.619477 6.862342
2025-05-04 0.123817 0.172081 0.250382 0.403033 0.751605 1.796410 9.504118
2025-05-11 0.117947 0.164923 0.241960 0.394584 0.752667 1.884833 11.936201
2025-05-18 0.113870 0.160428 0.237814 0.394276 0.774368 2.064673 17.264124
2025-05-25 0.109183 0.154664 0.231001 0.387654 0.778215 2.178988 23.493317
2025-06-01 0.104696 0.149001 0.223989 0.379868 0.777461 2.276257 32.150226
2025-06-08 0.100704 0.143968 0.217793 0.373204 0.778677 2.387015 46.866358
2025-06-15 0.099018 0.142715 0.218389 0.381421 0.825148 2.769062 134.068070
2025-06-22 0.095715 0.138547 0.213301 0.376352 0.830443 2.935397 323.298336
2025-06-29 0.091189 0.132104 0.203622 0.359988 0.797426 2.848219 390.021838